Malcolm Kendrick, COVID: Will lockdown lead to a major health disaster?

Malcolm Kendrick

[ Author’s note: This article was published in Russia Today I feel I should mention that I have taken some criticism for writing articles for Russia Today, I have remained silent on the matter up to now.

However, I would like to point out that I tried to contact the BBC with regard to many of the issues I have been highlighting e.g. the COVID care home disaster in the UK – no interest. I tried to contact UK newspapers – no interest. And I have a good relationship with a lot of journalists.
In addition to this lack of interest in matters that I felt were extremely important, it concerns me that YouTube has a current policy of censoring content critical of COVID orthodoxy. 

Toby Young, who can be a divisive figure, wrote about this in the Spectator magazine, pointing out that Google and YouTube are using a form of censorship knowns as ‘shadow banning’, which makes content they disapprove of extremely difficult to find.

As Toby Young made clear, they shadow banned an interview with Peter Hitchens entitled ‘Lockdown is a catastrophe.’ They also removed an interview with Nobel laureate Michael Levitt called ‘the case against lockdown.’

When I criticized the modeling of Imperial College, a huge number of replies came flooding in. They attacked me, but were highly supportive of the modeling, and the Government actions. These posts were from people who have never posted before, or since. Hired guns? I watched an interview where a representative of Facebook explained that they were shutting down any posts on Vitamin C and COVID-19. Calling it fake news. As if they had any idea of the science behind it.

Currently, if people wish to point an accusatory finger at news outlets for manipulating and censoring the news, the facts, the information flow, they need to turn their attention a little closer to home. The mainstream media seem to have become what they should never, ever, be. Cheerleaders for their Governments.

And no, no-one has paid a single rouble to write this little rant. I have never written anything that I do not believe to be true. More fool me, probably. So, I would like to say thank you to Russia Today for being willing to publish my, completely unedited, thoughts.  ]

COVID: Will lockdown lead to a major health disaster?

I fear we may be heading for a post-lockdown health catastrophe that could mirror the disaster of the post-Soviet era.

The self-inflicted damage we’ve done to our economies in the name of combating COVID-19 may end up killing far more people than the virus itself. The economic collapse that followed the communist bloc’s break-up caused millions of deaths.

There has never been a situation to compare with what we have been living through these past weeks and months. Never in the history of the world have entire countries been locked down. Never have entire countries inflicted such enormous damage to their own economies and distorted their health systems away from all other activities, to deal with a virus.

I felt, right from the start, that the potential harms from lockdown could well exceed any – speculative – reduction in COVID deaths. I began by arguing against lockdown from an economic perspective, which many people hated. They felt it was impossible to put a value on a human life, even to attempt to balance money versus health.

Perhaps they were unaware that we do this all the time. It is why NICE – the UK’s National Institute for Health and Care Excellence – was established in 2000. It is what all healthcare systems are forced to do. No country can afford to throw unlimited resources at healthcare. We all must decide what we can, and cannot, afford to do. Tough decisions to make, but essential.

Perhaps I came at the lockdown from a different viewpoint from most other people. When the pandemic took off, I was analysing the impact of economic and social upheaval on mortality. I was looking specifically at the breakup of the Soviet Union, as I knew that there had been a massive health impact from the rapid and uncontrolled “transformation” from a socialist to a market-based system.

An exhaustive study by three Austrian academics of the fallout from the dissolution of the communist bloc demonstrates the economic devastation it wrought:

“The immediate economic consequences of transformation were significant falls in gross national product. For example, between 1990 and 1993, real GDP had declined in Lithuania -18 per cent, Ukraine -10 per cent, Russia -10.1 per cent and Tajikistan -12.2 per cent. The first ten years of transformation was a period of great social disruption and chaos. The introduction of a market system of exchange led to a severe decline in gross domestic product, contraction of the labour market, and unemployment leading to social malaise including a rising death and suicide rate.”

What was the true impact on health? My main research interest is in cardiovascular medicine, and I was focussed on deaths from coronary heart disease (CHD). In lay terms, this means deaths from heart attacks. I had just put together the graph below, using Lithuania data.

As you can see, there was a dramatic increase in CHD deaths in 1989, the year that the Berlin wall fell. Lithuanians commenced their singing revolution, and there were mass demonstrations for independence, along with significant social upheaval.

The Soviet tanks rolled in, stayed for a bit, then rolled back out again, without doing much. Meanwhile, the Lithuanian GDP fell through the floor, and the rate of CHD virtually doubled over the next three years. A great mountain of increased mortality which makes anything from COVID look like a speed bump.

Of course, there were things over and above economic woes going on in Lithuania. However, I know that economic worries, by themselves, can be deadly. Perhaps the single deadliest thing of all. For instance, a study in South Africa found that people with significant financial worries were thirteen times more likely to have a heart attack:

“People who reported significant financial stress were 13 times more likely to have a heart attack than those who had minimal or no stress. Among those who experienced moderate work-related stress levels, the chances of having a heart attack were 5.6 times higher.”

Lithuania was not the only ex-Soviet country to see a massive increase in death. Not just from CHD, but in all-cause mortality. Here is a section of a report on the break-up:

“The transition to market economies in many post-communist societies of the former Soviet Union and other former eastern bloc countries in Europe has produced a ‘demographic collapse,’ Among the most serious findings is a four-year drop in life expectancy among Russian men since 1980, from 62 years to 58.

“There were also significant drops in life expectancy in Armenia, Belarus, Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania, and Romania. The immediate cause of the rising mortality is the ‘rise in self-destructive behaviour, especially among men.’ Old problems such as alcoholism have increased; drug misuse, a relatively new problem in the former communist bloc, has risen dramatically in recent years.” The report, Transition 1999, stated that suicide rates climbed steeply too, by 60% in Russia, 80% in Lithuania, and 95% in Latvia since 1989.

Behind the self-destructive behaviour, the authors say, were economic factors, including rising poverty rates, unemployment, financial insecurity, and corruption. Whereas only 4% of the population in the region had incomes equivalent to $4 (£2.50) a day or less in 1988, that figure had climbed to 32% by 1994.

“What we are arguing,” said Omar Noman, an economist for the development fund and one of the report’s contributors“is that the transition to market economies [in the region] is the biggest … killer we have seen in the 20th century, if you take out famines and wars. The sudden shock and what it did to the system … has effectively meant that five million [Russian men’s] lives have been lost in the 1990s.”

Five million lives lost in Russia… alone. As I write this, we have reached a worldwide figure of slightly under four hundred thousand deaths from COVID, in total. COVID now seems to be on the way out, and we may never reach half a million deaths in total. The economic impact, however, is only just beginning.

Moving back to CHD again, what were the Russian figures for CHD deaths following transition? As with Lithuania, they are quite fascinating, and highly disturbing.

You may ask why there was a two-year time lag between CHD deaths between Lithuania and Russia. I think the answer is that when the Berlin wall came down in 1989, it triggered an immediate crisis in Lithuania. On the other hand, the rest of the Soviet Union limped on for a couple of years. In 1991 there was an attempted coup, which failed. However, this did signal the end, and the Soviet Union then rapidly broke up.

In late 1991, Russia became a separate country, under the leadership of Boris Yeltsin, and it quickly moved to a market-based economy. Some people became eye-wateringly rich – far more became extremely poor. This, the delayed break up, is almost certainly why the Russian death rate lags Lithuania by two years.

There is another important difference. Russia did not just have one CHD peak, but two. After rising, then rapidly falling, it changed direction and climbed back up again. Why the double peak?

I think this can be explained by the fact that, in August 1998, there was a massive banking collapse. It virtually wiped out the stock market and destroyed the value of the rouble. At the same time, unemployment skyrocketed and the savings of the common man were further obliterated. The recovery took years, as this report makes clear:

“The enormity of Russia’s financial collapse on Aug. 17, 1998 only really hit home with me the next day. “We are so f-cked,” George Kogan, one of Moscow’s most famous and longest serving equity salesmen, explained to me standing in the apartment of Simon Dunlop, one of Moscow’s most famous entrepreneurs. “The whole system has just crashed. It will take years for Russia to recover.” 5

Having seen the health impact of economic crashes, I hope you can now see why I was deeply concerned about lockdown. It was clear to me that this could mean massive financial hardship, and I feared that the deaths that followed could be catastrophic.

When our pandemic “experts” were putting together their models on death rate, did they take any of this into consideration? They did not. But what is the point of any model that does not even bother to consider the potential negative impact of what they are recommending?

As a doctor, if I were advising any form of medical treatment, I would be considered negligent if all I did was talk about the benefits. I need to inform the patient about potential downsides. The procedure may not work; you may get worse – and suchlike.

We were persuaded into lockdown with the promise that hundreds of thousands of lives could be saved in the UK – and millions worldwide. We were never warned about the many millions of lives that could – and, I fear, will – be lost as a consequence of lockdown. I consider that to be negligent. Especially as, in this case, the patient in question was the entire population of the Earth.

 Malcolm Kendrick, doctor and author who works as a GP in the National Health Service in England. His blog can be read here and his book, ‘Doctoring Data – How to Sort Out Medical Advice from Medical Nonsense,’ is available here.

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16 thoughts on “Malcolm Kendrick, COVID: Will lockdown lead to a major health disaster?”

  1. I’m posting this because Mark of Quantum of Conscience has done a brilliant thing. He’s asked for comments to state what the situation is in their area re Covid, masks, distancing et al. So, you can listen to him, but the essence is in the comments which at this point total 1282.

    Just to add what my situation is in the north Florida area. I only go to one restaurant and that’s Panera’s in Lake City. They just re-opened to inside dining. No masks are required, but they do have Plexiglass shields between the customer and person taking your order. They no longer offer ceramic cups and all the condiments have to be requested. No servers or cooks seem to be wearing masks. They have the same number of tables as they always had. Even their bread is back on the shelves.
    No markets in this area require masks, but most employees have them. Bank lobbies are not open, but you can go in if you fill out a questionnaire. All employees are wearing masks. Walmart from Hell has arrows on the flow for the direction of walk…few pay any attention. And they have their little distance circles. Lowes and HD are about the same as Wally World, but they do not have direction arrows. I would say that right now, 20% of folks bare wearing masks.
    As I have said before, I will never wear a mask under any mandated circumstances or have my temperature taken by some fool. I would sooner go to jail since I will never pay any fine.

  2. Finally, some good news…I think. We’ll see if it passes….

    Update (1015ET): Just hours after media reports shined a light on a new DoJ legislative recommendation to hold tech giants accountable for censoring political speech and discriminating against conservatives.

    The “Limiting Section 230 Immunity to Good Samaritans Act,” will force tech companies like Facebook, Twitter and Alphabet to bind themselves to “good faith” standards of impartiality outlined as follows:

    Users could sue the major Big Tech companies for breaching their contractual duty of good faith
    The duty of good faith would contractually prohibit Big Tech from: Discriminating when enforcing the terms of service they write (just like police and prosecutors are not supposed to discriminate when enforcing the law)
    Failing to honor their promises
    Big Tech companies who breach their duty of good faith would have to pay $5,000 plus attorney’s fees to each user who prevails.

  3. Yesterdays Real Deal with Mike Bara…..although I would guess Dr. Fetzer will post this soon, I wanted to answer the question of what happened to Alex Fields Jr…. the man who supposedly killed Heather Heyer (who actually died of a heart attack the next day as far as I know) and injured multiple others in Charlottesville.

    ((He was convicted in a state court of hit and run, the first-degree murder of 32-year-old Heather Heyer, and eight counts of malicious wounding, and sentenced to life in prison with an additional 419 years in July 2019.[15] He also pled guilty to 29 of 30 federal hate crime charges to avoid the death penalty, which also resulted in another life sentence handed down in June 2019. ))

    SO, what strikes me about this is that if this was a false flag event as myself, Dr. Fetzer and many, many others contend, is the justice system SO corrupt as to have been able to take something this far or is the trial and sentence just part of the ‘play’ with Fields sunbathing in some south Pacific island.

  4. Do not miss the LAST PARAGRAPH!

    The Association of American Physicians and Surgeons has produced an “impossibly good” lawsuit against the FDA for banning Hydroxychloroquine
    They pull no punches, and make it perfectly clear that it is available to everyone from the national stockpiles, and that banning it is a direct attempt to rig the 2020 elections
    Here is the first little bit of text from the main body of the lawsuit.
    “1. AAPS brings this action on behalf of its members and their patients to end the irrational interference by the FDA with timely access to hydroxychloroquine (“HCQ”), which has been donated in large quantities to the federal government for prompt distribution. Specifically, AAPS seeks an injunction against the FDA’s Emergency Use Authorization dated March 28, 2020 (“EUA”), which prohibits use of the donated HCQ except for already-hospitalized patients for Case 1:20-cv-00493 ECF No. 1 filed 06/02/20 PageID.1 Page 1 of 24

    2. Through a biased, unlawful process described in greater detail below, FDA officials from prior administrations acted contrary to the wishes of President Donald Trump, by arbitrarily limiting use of HCQ from the Strategic National Stockpile (SNS) “to prescribe to adolescent and adult patients hospitalized with COVID-19, as appropriate, when a clinical trial is not available or feasible.”1

    3. Specifically, a Barack Obama-appointed official who is outspokenly critical of President Trump, Rick Bright, personally opposed making HCQ widely available to the public from the federal SNS, and distorted the agency process to arbitrarily and unjustifiably limit access by patients to HCQ received as donations by the federal government for the purpose of making it available promptly to the public.

    4. HCQ has been approved as safe by the FDA for sixty-five (65) years, and is safer than numerous medications that are widely available over the counter (“OTC”) without requiring a prescription, including anti-depressants (St John��s Wort), sleeping pills (diphenhydramine), bronchodilators (ephedrine), many pain medications including ibuprofen, acetaminophen (Tylenol速), and even aspirin. HCQ is not addictive in any way.

    5. President Donald Trump himself has repeatedly praised HCQ, and he announced on May 18, 2020 that on his own initiative and with his physician’s advice and prescription, Trump took a full regimen of HCQ himself as a prophylaxis against COVID-19, as other world leaders have reportedly been doing.

    6. The arbitrary, irrational, and unjustifiable interference by Defendants with the use of HCQ as a prophylaxis interferes with the political process by which the United States selects its president: national political conventions. For nearly two centuries, thousands of delegates attend a national political convention together to nominate their candidate for president and to present their slate to the American public. Continued, irrational interference by Defendants with a safe prophylaxis for COVID-19 has the effect of infringing on the right of the people to hold national political conventions, which have been an essential part of our presidential elections since at least 1832.

    The rest is here and the AAPS web site is Here

    1. Somehow, this information must be disseminated to as many Americans as possible. It’s our chance, we can only hope the court case is not decided by a crooked judge. There is no justice anymore, getting a fair deal is almost impossible. Of course, the court case could be stalled out until after the election. It is simply amazing how rotten and corrupt this country has become.

  5. Get a gander of this from Jim Stone….the corona bust continues!!


    Bolsonaro did not believe hospitals were being honest about Corona, had people break into one that claimed to have 5, 000 CORONA patients and the place was empty.
    Five members of the Brazilian parlaiment went to hospitals under the orders of Bolsonaro to conduct surprise audits and confirm the number of patients there. One hospital claimed to have 5, 000 people with Coronavirus along with 200 dead. When the officials audited it, they discovered it was not even fully constructed yet and had no patients of any sort, let alone Corona.

    The same trend happened at other hospitals that were completed. Though they had patients, there were few, if any, with coronavirus while the hospitals were claiming huge numbers.

    The hospitals are guilty of embezzlement and defrauding the Brazilian government, while attempting to destroy Brazil with a fraud and forced vaccination scheme.

    This same fraud is playing out in American hospitals to an even greater scale now – taken to such an extent that whistle blowing nurses are stating the hospitals are killing people on purpose to get the death stats to actionable levels. Coronavirus is likely the greatest scam perpetrated in the history of mankind.

    You will NOT hear about this in America’s scam MSM, but for A limited time only there’s a twitter thread about this, complete with video of the government officials doing the busts. GET WHILE THE GETTING IS GOOD.

  6. I thought the USSR breakup was supposed to bring joy. I never realised it brought sorrow. Maybe like David Bowe ” your long blonde hair and your eyes of blue, the only thing I got from you was sorrow, sorrow.
    What about George Sorrow, I mean Soros. I first heard about heard about him was in the GFC. That guy was on the radio, he was saying pull your money out , sell your shares. It seems now he helped cause , or at east worsen the crash. I saw the old 60 minutes episode where he admitted helping rob the Jews of their, paintings etc. He said he did not feel guilty to rob his fellow Jews. saying that if he did not do it someone else would. By helping fuel the GFC sell off, he robbed me and many others.

  7. “The Nobel Prize and the discovery of vitamins
    In 1937 Albert Szent-Györgyi received the Prize for Physiology or Medicine “for his discoveries in connection with the biological combustion processes, with especial reference to vitamin C and the catalysis of fumaric acid.” “ The late Fred Klenner, M.D. was a top biology student from Pennsylvania. He earned his M.D. degree from Duke University in 1936. He became fascinated with this newly discovered substance. He proved that at higher doses it could cure all viral diseases up to and including polio before 1949. Klenner was much more than just a doctor but research scientist. His great work has been obstructed by the bigots in the FDA which approve only a trivial daily dose of 60 mgm to prevent scurvy. Here are two articles, one by Klenner in 1971 and another discussing the stonewall of this very important Vitamin and medicine for disease cure and prevention:
    Almost all animals manufacture their own stores of Vitamin C or Ascorbic Acid; humans do not. As Frederick Klenner, M.D. showed, it is much more than a vitamin, it is a medicine. We may never have a vaccine, let alone a safe one, for all viral diseases but we have Vitamin C. But it has been deliberately obstructed by outlaws in the FDA and other corrupt alphabet agencies of our totally corrupt government because their are no easy profits to be made from Vitamin C. The genius Linus Pauling, Ph.D., two solo Nobel Prizes, Chemistry, 1954 and Peace, 1962 took 18 grams of Vitamin C per day for his prostate cancer; yes, it kills cancer cells without harming normal cells too! Ignorant bigots made fun of Pauling but he died at age 93 while a medical doctor Victor Herbert, M.D., who criticized a 1992 TIME article on the benefits of taking vitamins and minerals died at 75, so evidently orthodox medical doctors do not have all the answers about public health do they? Listen to the great speech in 1994 by Joel Wallach, DVM, ND: “Dead Doctors Don’t Lie”.

  8. The lockdown of entire cities and countries is total madness. In the 1918 flu, only single infected houses were in quarantine not the entire city.

    I really believe that whole populations are becoming more stupid by the hour.

    My friends in Australia are grandparents. Their son is an obstetrician doctor. The son is so panicked that when the grandparents visit their grandchild, their son will not let the grandparents get near to or touch the toddler for fear of infection. Total madness again.


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